Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 20.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boreham Wood would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Boreham Wood
20.11% ( 0.87)	22.3% ( 0.23)	57.59% ( -1.1)

Both teams to score 54.14% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.41% (

0.25)

44.58% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.05% (

0.24)

66.95% (

-0.24)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.86% (

1.06)

36.13% (

-1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08% (

1.06)

72.91% (

-1.06)

Boreham Wood Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78% (

-0.27)

15.22% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.13% (

-0.52)

43.87% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 20.11%

Boreham Wood 57.58%

Draw 22.29%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Boreham Wood
1-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.11%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.29%	0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.57% Total : 57.58%