National League South | Gameweek 37
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
3 - 0
Chesham

Colbran (15'), Nash (50'), Babalola (54')
Babalola (8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stevens (55'), Foram (69')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Chesham United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 2-1 Bath City
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chesham 1-4 Truro City
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
WorthingDrawChesham United
49.29% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.44% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)26.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 54.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)47.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.58% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.01% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)50.99%
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.12% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.4% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)68.6% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 49.28%
    Chesham United 26.27%
    Draw 24.44%
WorthingDrawChesham United
1-0 @ 10.19%
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 8.39%
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 49.28%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 7.03%
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.99%
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 26.27%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 17
Chesham
2-0
Worthing
Weiss (32', 59')
Weiss (27')

Cook (47'), Beard (75')
Rea (45+2')
rhs 2.0


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