National League South | Gameweek 30

Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The A2B Stadium

Worthing
2 - 1
Bath City

Spong (47'), Cashman (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Parselle (72')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions

Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-2 Worthing
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Bath City

All competitions

Last Game: Bath City 0-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
Worthing	Draw	Bath City
56.1% ( -0.38)	23.41% ( 0.21)	20.49% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 51.19% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.19% (

-0.64)

48.81% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.09% (

-0.58)

70.91% (

0.58)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78% (

-0.36)

17.22% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.49% (

-0.65)

47.5% (

0.65)

Bath City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.83% (

-0.19)

38.16% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.07% (

-0.18)

74.93% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Worthing 56.08%

Bath City 20.49%

Draw 23.41%

Worthing	Draw	Bath City
1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.81% Total : 56.08%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.41%	0-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.53% Total : 20.49%