National League South | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
0 - 2
Hornchurch

FT(HT: 0-0)
McQueen (57', 90+2')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bath City

All competitions
Last Game: Bath City 2-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in National League South

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
Last Game: Hornchurch 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Hornchurch would win this match.

Result
Bath CityDrawAFC Hornchurch
33.7% (-0.061 -0.06)27.67% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)38.63% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 48.59% (0.163 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.82% (0.209 0.21)57.18% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96% (0.166 0.17)78.04% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (0.064999999999998 0.06)31.81% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (0.072000000000003 0.07)68.25% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (0.169 0.17)28.74% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (0.212 0.21)64.58% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 33.7%
    AFC Hornchurch 38.63%
    Draw 27.66%
Bath CityDrawAFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 33.7%
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.14% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 11.4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.95% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 38.63%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Hornchurch
0-0
Bath City
Grimes (15'), Parselle (53'), Russe (90')