Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.