National League South | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 2
Worthing

Wood (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Willard (69'), Nash (83')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Hornchurch 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in National League South

Worthing

All competitions
Last Game: Worthing 2-1 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawWorthing
35.38% (0.276 0.28)25.84% (0.29 0.29)38.78% (-0.569 -0.57)
Both teams to score 54.68% (-0.954 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (-1.242 -1.24)49.55% (1.238 1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.42% (-1.125 -1.13)71.58% (1.121 1.12)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (-0.428 -0.43)27% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-0.562 -0.56)62.35% (0.558 0.56)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (-0.863 -0.86)25.08% (0.86 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-1.208 -1.21)59.77% (1.204 1.2)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 35.38%
    Worthing 38.78%
    Draw 25.84%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawWorthing
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.337 0.34)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.38%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.335 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.239 0.24)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.78%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Worthing
3-2
Tonbridge Angels
Young (40'), Fall (57'), Wheeler (63')
Young (90+9'), Rea (90')
Bakrin (22'), Robinson (65')
Hinds (57'), Nelson (66'), Robinson (69'), Steward (73'), Leighton (86'), Santos (86'), Fielding (90+9')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Tonbridge Angels
0-1
Worthing
Pearce (62')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Worthing
1-0
Tonbridge Angels
Wheeler (90+5')

Lyons-Foster (81')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Tonbridge Angels
2-1
Worthing
Hinds (59'), Turner (79')
Wills (22')
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Worthing
3-2
Tonbridge Angels
Beresford (3'), Kealy (18' pen.), Chambers (24')
Aransibia (12'), Greenidge (90')
rhs 2.0


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