National League South | Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Raymond McEnhill Stadium

Salisbury
1 - 2
Bath City

Brown (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Russe (28'), Ash (29')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Salisbury and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Salisbury
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 3-0 Bath City
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salisbury win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salisbury win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
SalisburyDrawBath City
37.79% (4.268 4.27)28.5% (-0.52 -0.52)33.71% (-3.745 -3.75)
Both teams to score 46.17% (1.489 1.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.82% (1.817 1.82)60.18% (-1.813 -1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.63% (1.36 1.36)80.37% (-1.357 -1.36)
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.28% (3.72 3.72)30.72% (-3.716 -3.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (4.174 4.17)66.98% (-4.17 -4.17)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65% (-1.51 -1.51)33.35% (1.512 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.03% (-1.69 -1.69)69.97% (1.693 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Salisbury 37.79%
    Bath City 33.7%
    Draw 28.49%
SalisburyDrawBath City
1-0 @ 12.09% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.705 0.71)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.905 0.91)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.549 0.55)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.594 0.59)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.243 0.24)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.235 0.24)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.79%
1-1 @ 13.27% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 10.24% (-0.72 -0.72)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.222 0.22)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.49%
0-1 @ 11.24% (-1.3 -1.3)
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.365 -0.37)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-1.004 -1)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.478 -0.48)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 33.7%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Bath City
1-0
Salisbury
Alves (22')
Alves (45+1')

Carroll (58'), Penny (76')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Third Round Qualifying
Salisbury
1-2
Bath City
Hedges (18')
Tillson (68'), Fisher (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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