National League South | Gameweek 34

Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK

The A2B Stadium

Worthing
3 - 2
Salisbury

Cook (78'), Nash (81', 84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Coppin (20'), James Watts (90+2')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Salisbury.

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions

Last Game: Slough 4-0 Worthing
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Salisbury

All competitions

Last Game: Chesham 2-2 Salisbury
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
Worthing	Draw	Salisbury
48.23% ( 0.26)	24.2% ( -0.05)	27.57% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 56.68% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.6% (

0.12)

45.39% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.27% (

0.12)

67.73% (

-0.11)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.08% (

0.15)

18.92% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.58% (

0.25)

50.42% (

-0.25)

Salisbury Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.9% (

-0.08)

30.1% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.76% (

-0.1)

66.23% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Worthing 48.23%

Salisbury 27.57%

Draw 24.2%

Worthing	Draw	Salisbury
1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.23%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.2%	0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 27.57%