Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.