National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Meadow

Chesham
0 - 1
Tonbridge Angels

FT(HT: 0-0)
Zanre Botti (69')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions
Last Game: Worthing 3-0 Chesham
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Chesham UnitedDrawTonbridge Angels
46.41% (-0.219 -0.22)26.23% (0.151 0.15)27.35% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.08% (-0.404 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (-0.547 -0.55)53.95% (0.549 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.46 -0.46)75.4% (0.464 0.46)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (-0.336 -0.34)23.21% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.88% (-0.494 -0.49)57.12% (0.496 0.5)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23% (-0.238 -0.24)34.77% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.5% (-0.252 -0.25)71.5% (0.254 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Chesham United 46.41%
    Tonbridge Angels 27.35%
    Draw 26.23%
Chesham UnitedDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 46.41%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.172 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.53% (0.128 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 27.35%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Tonbridge Angels
1-0
Chesham
Robinson (17')
Sutcliffe (43'), Nelson (66'), Wagstaff (87'), Evans (90+2'), Evans (90+2')

Cawley (45')
Cawley (90+1')