National League South Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Meadow
  • goal Gianluca Zanre Botti 69'

Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
Worthing 3 - 0 Chesham
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Nathan Minhas

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
Tonbridge Angels 0 - 1 Torquay Utd
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Liam Vincent

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Chesham United 46.41% (-0.22)
Draw 26.23% (+0.16)
Tonbridge Angels 27.35% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.08% (-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.05% (-0.55)
Under 2.5 53.95% (+0.55)
Over 3.5 24.6% (-0.46)
Under 3.5 75.4% (+0.47)
Over 4.5 11.1% (-0.30)
Under 4.5 88.89% (+0.30)

Chesham United Goals

Over 0.5 76.78% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 23.21% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 42.88% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 57.12% (+0.50)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 65.23% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 34.77% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 28.5% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 71.5% (+0.26)

Score analysis

Chesham United 46.41%
Draw 26.23%
Tonbridge Angels 27.35%
Chesham United
1-0 @ 11.78% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.61% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 46.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.07% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.23%
Tonbridge Angels
0-1 @ 8.53% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 27.35%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Trevan Robinson 17' goal
  • Ethan Sutcliffe 43' yellowcard
  • Ronny Nelson 66' yellowcard
  • Scott Wagstaff 87' yellowcard
  • Makise Evans 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Makise Evans 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Cawley 45'
  • redcard Jack Cawley 90'+1'