National League South | Gameweek 32

Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Meadowbank Stadium

Dorking
1 - 0
Tonbridge Angels

Murphy (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Dorking Wanderers and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Salisbury 0-2 Dorking
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Worthing
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Tonbridge Angels
65.81% ( 0.14)	20.38% ( -0.09)	13.8% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 47.13% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.81% (

0.24)

47.19% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.58% (

0.22)

69.42% (

-0.22)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.5% (

0.12)

13.5% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.47% (

0.24)

40.53% (

-0.24)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.49% (

0.06)

45.51% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.66% (

0.05)

81.34% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Dorking Wanderers 65.8%

Tonbridge Angels 13.8%

Draw 20.38%

Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Tonbridge Angels
2-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 65.8%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.38%	0-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.8%