National League South | Gameweek 35

Feb 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
2 - 0
Welling United

Vincent (38' pen.), Zanre Botti (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions

Last Game: Enfield Town 1-3 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Welling United

All competitions

Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Welling United
44.42% ( -1.64)	26.23% ( 0.58)	29.35% ( 1.06)

Both teams to score 51.38% (

-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.12% (

-1.79)

52.87% (

1.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.51% (

-1.55)

74.49% (

1.54)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.3% (

-1.54)

23.69% (

1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.19% (

-2.26)

57.81% (

2.26)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.34% (

-0.14)

32.66% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.79% (

-0.15)

69.2% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Tonbridge Angels 44.42%

Welling United 29.35%

Draw 26.22%

Tonbridge Angels	Draw	Welling United
1-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.77% Total : 44.42%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.14) Other @ 1% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.35%