Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Truro City in this match.