National League South | Gameweek 38

Mar 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
2 - 1
St Albans City

Akanbi (55'), Crichlow (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Banton (71')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 2-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

St Albans City

All competitions

Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	St Albans City
40.9% ( -0.02)	26.57% ( 0)	32.53% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.69% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.88% (

-0.01)

53.12% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.3% (

-0.01)

74.7% (

0.01)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42% (

-0.01)

25.58% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.55% (

-0.02)

60.46% (

0.02)

St Albans City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.46% (

30.54% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.23% (

66.77% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 40.9%

St Albans City 32.53%

Draw 26.57%

Chelmsford City	Draw	St Albans City
1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 40.9%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.53%