Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boreham Wood in this match.