National League South | Gameweek 37

Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK

Meadowbank Stadium

Dorking
2 - 2
Chelmsford City

Carter (48' pen.), Rutherford (49')
Rutherford (18'), Camp (57'), Carter (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tamplin (31'), Valentine (60')
Valentine (64'), Wilkinson (73')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Dorking Wanderers and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Enfield Town 0-2 Dorking
Saturday, March 1 at 3.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Chelmsford City

All competitions

Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-2 Worthing
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Chelmsford City
59.23% ( 0.02)	22% ( -0.01)	18.76% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.83% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.8% (

0.02)

45.19% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.45% (

0.02)

67.54% (

-0.02)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.1% (

0.01)

14.89% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.75% (

0.02)

43.25% (

-0.02)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.07% (

-0)

37.92% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.31% (

-0)

74.69% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Dorking Wanderers 59.22%

Chelmsford City 18.76%

Draw 21.99%

Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 10.75% 2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 59.22%	1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.81% 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.99%	0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.39% Total : 18.76%