National League South | Gameweek 17
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
0 - 4
Dorking


Adam Williams (2'), Appiah (33'), Tamplin (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Carter (3', 19', 70'), Muitt (86')
Craig (8'), Brooking (76')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dorking 1-1 Maidstone
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawDorking Wanderers
44.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)31.91% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.72% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.72% (0.012 0.01)41.28% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.32% (0.012 0.01)63.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)18.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.59% (0.00099999999999767 0)50.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.012999999999991 0.01)25.12% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (0.016999999999996 0.02)59.82% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 44.26%
    Dorking Wanderers 31.91%
    Draw 23.83%
Chelmsford CityDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 44.26%
1-1 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.91%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Dorking
2-0
Chelmsford City
Briggs (3'), McShane (53')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Chelmsford City
2-2
Dorking
Jackson (11'), Sheringham (90+5')
Taylor (45+4' pen.), Prior (47')
May 7, 2021 11pm
Feb 15, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0


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