Torquay United
National League South | Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
2 - 2
Chelmsford City

Cooke (6'), Young (13')
Craske (41'), Dreyer (63'), Cooke (77'), Carson (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hyde (31'), James (82')
Tamplin (54'), James (65')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Torquay United and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 2-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Salisbury
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawChelmsford City
47.08% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)24.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)28.53% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.8% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.44% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)45.56% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)67.88% (0.059000000000012 0.06)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)19.45% (0.046000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.7% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)51.3% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.48% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.51% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)65.48% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 47.08%
    Chelmsford City 28.53%
    Draw 24.38%
Torquay UnitedDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 9.39% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 47.08%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 28.53%

Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Chelmsford City
2-0
Torquay Utd
Jenkins (3'), Barbrook (84')
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Torquay Utd
2-1
Chelmsford City
McGavin (56'), Carruthers (90+4' og.)
Brookes (86')