National League South | Gameweek 41

Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK

Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
2 - 4
Weston

McQueen (53'), Balanta (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Coulson (15', 60', 90+6'), Reid (33')

Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions

Last Game: Hornchurch 1-0 Worthing
Tuesday, March 25 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions

Last Game: Weston 1-1 Chesham
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 52.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 21.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for an AFC Hornchurch win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.

Result
AFC Hornchurch	Draw	Weston-super-Mare
21.63% ( 0)	26.37%	52.01% ( 0)

Both teams to score 44.33% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.32% (

-0.01)

58.69% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.78% (

-0.01)

79.23% (

0.01)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.36% (

-0)

42.65% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.01% (

-0)

78.99% (

0.01)

Weston-super-Mare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.3% (

-0)

22.71% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.63% (

-0)

56.37% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

AFC Hornchurch 21.63%

Weston-super-Mare 52%

Draw 26.37%

AFC Hornchurch	Draw	Weston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.21% 2-0 @ 3.52% 3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.1% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.06% Total : 21.63%	1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 9.68% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 14.35% 0-2 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 9.07% 0-3 @ 5.26% 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.69% Total : 52%