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National League South | Gameweek 39
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
2 - 3
Slough

Adams (41' pen.), McQueen (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ogbonna (45'), Prosper (73'), Spasov (76')
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Slough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-1 Hornchurch
Monday, March 10 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-0 Slough
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawSlough Town
45.09% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 25.47% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 29.44% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.79% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (0.028999999999996 0.03)49.77% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02)71.77% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.05% (0.0029999999999966 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)55.38% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Slough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (0.040999999999997 0.04)30.99% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (0.048999999999999 0.05)67.29% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 45.09%
    Slough Town 29.44%
    Draw 25.47%
AFC HornchurchDrawSlough Town
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 45.09%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 29.44%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Slough
2-1
Hornchurch
Davies (69'), Bayliss (77')
Jackman (36'), Bayliss (44')
Wraight (51')
Barnum-Bobb (20'), Scott (68'), Green (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Truro CityTruro City462611975423389
2Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd462514773423189
3Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne462513870432788
4Worthing4626101078582088
5Boreham WoodBoreham Wood462681286483886
6Dorking WanderersDorking462414889543586
7Maidstone UnitedMaidstone462116970383279
8Weston-super-MareWeston462012146455972
9AFC HornchurchHornchurch461714155954565
10Farnborough TownFarnborough46189196968163
11Chelmsford CityChelmsford City4616141674621262
12Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.461711186475-1162
13Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels461612185258-660
14Chesham UnitedChesham461611196172-1159
15Chippenham TownChippenham46178215769-1259
16Bath City461512194748-157
17Slough TownSlough461512197075-557
18Hampton & RichmondHampton46149236074-1451
19Enfield Town46139244988-3948
20Salisbury461016205669-1346
21St Albans CitySt Albans City46918194764-1745
22Welling UnitedWelling United46108284791-4438
23Weymouth46615254377-3433
24Aveley4688304581-3632


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