National League South | Gameweek 39

Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
2 - 3
Slough

Adams (41' pen.), McQueen (45+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ogbonna (45'), Prosper (73'), Spasov (76')

Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Slough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-1 Hornchurch
Monday, March 10 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Slough Town

All competitions

Last Game: Bath City 2-0 Slough
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC Hornchurch	Draw	Slough Town
45.09% ( -0.03)	25.47% ( -0)	29.44% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 53.79% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.23% (

0.03)

49.77% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.23% (

0.02)

71.77% (

-0.03)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95% (

-0)

22.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.62% (

-0.01)

55.38% (

Slough Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.01% (

0.04)

30.99% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.71% (

0.05)

67.29% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

AFC Hornchurch 45.09%

Slough Town 29.44%

Draw 25.47%

AFC Hornchurch	Draw	Slough Town
1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 45.09%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 8% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 29.44%