National League South Gameweek 38
Mar 10, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Mazeed Ogungbo 8' goal
  • Brandon Barzey 21' goal
  • Oliver Lynch 54' goal
  • goal Henry Hearn 61'

Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
Hampton 1 - 2 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Brandon Barzey

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
Hornchurch 0 - 0 Maidstone
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Darren McQueen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

Hemel Hempstead Town 32.3% (+0.02)
Draw 25.63%
AFC Hornchurch 42.06% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.62% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.69% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 49.3% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 28.64% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 71.36% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 13.74% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.26% (+0.01)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.2% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.79% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 35.35% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 64.64% (-0.01)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 76.71% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 23.29% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 42.78% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 57.22% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 32.3%
Draw 25.63%
AFC Hornchurch 42.06%
Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 8.35% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.57% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.14% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 2.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 32.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.71% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
AFC Hornchurch
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.12% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 42.06%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Liam Nash 14' goal
  • Will Greenidge 40' yellowcard
  • Giles Phillips 43' yellowcard
  • Mason Terry 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricky German 52'
  • yellowcard Teddy Howe 79'
  • redcard Teddy Howe 85'