Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.