Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result
Torquay United	Draw	AFC Hornchurch
43.43% ( 0)	27.39% ( -0.01)	29.17% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.84% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.62% (

0.05)

57.38% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.8% (

0.04)

78.2% (

-0.04)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.79% (

0.02)

26.2% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.7% (

0.03)

61.29% (

-0.03)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.83% (

0.03)

35.17% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.08% (

0.03)

71.92% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Torquay United 43.43%

AFC Hornchurch 29.17%

Draw 27.38%

Torquay United	Draw	AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.43%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.38%	0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 29.17%