National League South Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Plainmoor Ground
  • Finley Craske 9' goal
  • Matthew Carson 36' goal
  • goal Angelo Balanta 87'

Torquay United vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
Worthing 2 - 2 Torquay Utd
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Cody Cooke

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
Hornchurch 2 - 1 Boreham Wood
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Darren McQueen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result

Torquay United 43.43% (+0.01)
Draw 27.39% (-0.02)
AFC Hornchurch 29.17% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.84% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.62% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 57.38% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 21.8% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 78.2% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 9.39% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 90.61% (-0.03)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5 73.79% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 26.2% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 38.7% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 61.29% (-0.04)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 64.83% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 35.17% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 28.08% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.92% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Torquay United 43.43%
Draw 27.38%
AFC Hornchurch 29.17%
Torquay United
1-0 @ 12.34% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.64% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.26% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.86% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.22% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.51% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.38%
AFC Hornchurch
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.74% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 29.17%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Liam Nash 7' goal
  • George Saunders 60' goal
  • George Saunders 66' yellowcard
  • Mason Terry 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finley Craske 33'
  • goal Cody Cooke 76'
  • yellowcard Dean Moxey 79'