National League South | Gameweek 29

Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Paddy Power Park

Farnborough
0 - 1
Hornchurch

FT(HT: 0-1)

McQueen (21')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Farnborough Town

All competitions

Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions

Last Game: Weymouth 3-3 Hornchurch
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Farnborough Town	Draw	AFC Hornchurch
47.9% ( -0.31)	25.21% ( 0.07)	26.89% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 52.87% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.84% (

-0.15)

50.15% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.88% (

-0.13)

72.11% (

0.13)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.04% (

-0.19)

20.95% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.29% (

-0.3)

53.7% (

0.3)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.88% (

0.11)

33.11% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.28% (

0.12)

69.71% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Farnborough Town 47.9%

AFC Hornchurch 26.89%

Draw 25.2%

Farnborough Town	Draw	AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 47.9%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 26.89%