National League South Gameweek 26
Mar 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Angelo Balanta 44' goal

AFC Hornchurch vs Worthing - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
St Albans City 1 - 1 Hornchurch
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Darren McQueen

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
Welling United 2 - 0 Worthing
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Danny Cashman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

AFC Hornchurch 25.78% (+1.35)
Draw 24.76% (+0.38)
Worthing 49.45% (-1.71)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.31% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.88% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 49.12% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 28.81% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 71.19% (+0.39)
Over 4.5 13.86% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 86.14% (+0.27)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 66.54% (+0.91)
Under 0.5 33.46% (-0.91)
Over 1.5 29.91% (+0.98)
Under 1.5 70.09% (-0.98)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 80.11% (-0.86)
Under 0.5 19.88% (+0.86)
Over 1.5 47.99% (-1.41)
Under 1.5 52.01% (+1.41)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 25.78%
Draw 24.76%
Worthing 49.44%
AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 7.29% (+0.30)
2-1 @ 6.44% (+0.26)
2-0 @ 3.99% (+0.26)
3-1 @ 2.35% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.9% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 1.46% (+0.13)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 25.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.76% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 6.65% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.2% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.76%
Worthing
0-1 @ 10.74% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 8.68% (-0.33)
1-3 @ 5.12% (-0.21)
0-3 @ 4.67% (-0.31)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.15)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.18)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 49.44%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 8
Sep 7, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The A2B Stadium
  • Sam Beard 51' yellowcard
  • Ollie Black 65' yellowcard
  • Jack Bates 90'+2' yellowcard