National League South | Gameweek 26

Mar 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
1 - 0
Worthing

Balanta (44')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions

Last Game: St Albans City 1-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Worthing

All competitions

Last Game: Welling United 2-0 Worthing
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
AFC Hornchurch	Draw	Worthing
25.78% ( 1.35)	24.76% ( 0.37)	49.45% ( -1.71)

Both teams to score 53.31% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.88% (

-0.42)

49.12% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.81% (

-0.38)

71.19% (

0.39)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.54% (

0.91)

33.46% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.91% (

0.98)

70.09% (

-0.97)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.11% (

-0.85)

19.88% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.99% (

-1.4)

52.01% (

1.4)

Score Analysis

AFC Hornchurch 25.78%

Worthing 49.44%

Draw 24.76%

AFC Hornchurch	Draw	Worthing
1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.36% Total : 25.78%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.76%	0-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.85% Total : 49.44%