Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.