National League South | Gameweek 38

Mar 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Parkside Stadium

Aveley
1 - 2
Worthing

Lewis (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cashman (77', 82')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aveley

All competitions

Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Aveley
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Worthing

All competitions

Last Game: Worthing 3-0 Chesham
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Aveley win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Worthing in this match.

Result
Aveley	Draw	Worthing
31.74% ( 0.04)	24.59% ( -0)	43.67% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 57.94% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.12% (

0.02)

44.88% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.76% (

0.02)

67.24% (

-0.02)

Aveley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.02% (

0.04)

26.98% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.68% (

0.05)

62.32% (

-0.05)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.35% (

-0.01)

20.65% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.78% (

-0.02)

53.22% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Aveley 31.74%

Worthing 43.67%

Draw 24.59%

Aveley	Draw	Worthing
2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 31.74%	1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.67%