National League South | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Parkside Stadium

Aveley
1 - 2
Weston

Kawa (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pearson (85'), Reid (89')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidstone 0-2 Aveley
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-2 Salisbury
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.

Result
AveleyDrawWeston-super-Mare
34.65% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)26.48% (0.0020000000000024 0)38.87% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.47% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.66% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)52.34% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.97% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)74.02% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)28.78% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)64.63% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (0.013999999999996 0.01)26.31% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.55% (0.021999999999998 0.02)61.44% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 34.65%
    Weston-super-Mare 38.87%
    Draw 26.47%
AveleyDrawWeston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.65%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 10.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 3% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.87%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Weston
4-1
Aveley
Pearson (40', 65'), Avery (76'), Kadji (83')
McCootie (38')
Owen (19')
Kpakpe (7')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Weston
1-2
Aveley
Kempster (36')
Gibbs (28'), Odelusi (80' pen.)
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Aveley
2-0
Weston
Ibie (41'), Vaz (53')
rhs 2.0


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