Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.

Result
Weymouth	Draw	Aveley
45.32% ( 1.09)	25.91% ( 0.27)	28.76% ( -1.36)

Both teams to score 52.01% (

-1.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.09% (

-1.74)

51.91% (

1.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.34% (

-1.53)

73.65% (

1.53)

Weymouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15% (

-0.23)

22.85% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.42% (

-0.34)

56.58% (

0.34)

Aveley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.41% (

-1.89)

32.59% (

1.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.87% (

-2.18)

69.13% (

2.17)

Score Analysis

Weymouth 45.32%

Aveley 28.76%

Draw 25.91%

Weymouth	Draw	Aveley
1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.32%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.76%