National League South | Gameweek 25
Mar 3, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Parkside Stadium

Aveley
2 - 2
Salisbury

Kawa (75'), Hicks (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
James Watts (11'), Sommerton (90+9')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Salisbury.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 1-2 Hampton
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 3-2 Salisbury
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
AveleyDrawSalisbury
45.09% (4.916 4.92)26.03% (-0.307 -0.31)28.88% (-4.596 -4.6)
Both teams to score 51.73% (-0.964 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (-0.348 -0.35)52.31% (0.359 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (-0.298 -0.3)74% (0.31 0.31)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (2.309 2.31)23.13% (-2.296 -2.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (3.261 3.26)56.99% (-3.249 -3.25)
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.29% (-3.367 -3.37)32.71% (3.379 3.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74% (-3.945 -3.95)69.26% (3.957 3.96)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 45.09%
    Salisbury 28.88%
    Draw 26.02%
AveleyDrawSalisbury
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.86 0.86)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.484 0.48)
2-0 @ 8.11% (1.115 1.12)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.507 0.51)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.765 0.77)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.279 0.28)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.356 0.36)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 45.09%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.693 -0.69)
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.765 -0.77)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.885 -0.89)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.564 -0.56)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.533 -0.53)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 28.88%

How you voted: Aveley vs Salisbury

Aveley
55.6%
Draw
0.0%
Salisbury
44.4%
9
rhs 2.0


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