Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.