National League South | Gameweek 37
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Treyew Road

Truro City
3 - 2
Welling United

Riley-Lowe (2'), Harvey (69', 84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moore (32')
Winfield (53')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Truro City

All competitions
Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in National League South

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Slough
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.

Result
Truro CityDrawWelling United
61.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)23.01% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)15.59% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.78% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)54.21% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.62% (0.012 0.01)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)17.28% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)47.61% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.79% (0.0039999999999978 0)47.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)82.64% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 61.39%
    Welling United 15.59%
    Draw 23%
Truro CityDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 14.31%
2-0 @ 12.57%
2-1 @ 9.44%
3-0 @ 7.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 10.74%
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 6.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 4.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 15.59%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 17
Welling United
1-2
Truro City
Walker (23')
Winfield (45'), Donkor (84'), Chukwu (90')
Winfield (51')
Kabia (31'), Harrison (37')
Kabia (55'), En-Neyah (61')
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Welling United
3-2
Truro City
Kennedy (48'), Fish (50'), Papadopoulos (76')
Sullivan (28'), Harvey (63')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Truro City
5-2
Welling United
Neal (5'), Palmer (18'), Porter (20', 39'), Harvey (45+2')
Green (28'), Papadopoulos (87' pen.)