National League South | Gameweek 39
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Paddy Power Park

Farnborough
2 - 1
Welling United

MacArthur (40'), Stuttle (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Redfearn (6')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Farnborough Town

All competitions
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Truro City 3-2 Welling United
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawWelling United
60.63% (-0.11 -0.11)21.6% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)17.77% (0.13 0.13)
Both teams to score 52.27% (0.323 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (0.299 0.3)45.02% (-0.3 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (0.285 0.28)67.37% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.61% (0.063000000000002 0.06)14.39% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.71% (0.121 0.12)42.29% (-0.122 -0.12)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.06% (0.33000000000001 0.33)38.94% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.33% (0.311 0.31)75.67% (-0.313 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 60.62%
    Welling United 17.77%
    Draw 21.6%
Farnborough TownDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 10.86% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.53% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.8% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.42% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.11% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 60.62%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.6%
0-1 @ 5.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.83% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.49% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 17.77%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Welling United
4-1
Farnborough
Chukwu (6'), Walker (11'), Kennedy (22'), Casey (70' og.)
Wells (38'), Winfield (50'), Kennedy (66'), Grant (87')
Bloomfield (4')
Pendlebury (33'), Casey (87')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Farnborough
1-0
Welling United
Kuhl (40')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Welling United
2-2
Farnborough
Odusanya (27'), Bramble (87')
Pendlebury (45+7'), Gifford (90')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Farnborough
0-0
Welling United
Dec 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Welling United
1-2
Farnborough
Payne (78')
Kasimu (27'), Pendlebury (90+3')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!