Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.