National League South | Gameweek 29

Mar 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Park View Road

Welling United
1 - 2
Hemel Hemps.

Kamara (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lynch (78'), White (90+6' pen.)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Welling United

All competitions

Last Game: Farnborough 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions

Last Game: Worthing 3-0 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Welling United	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
40.21% ( 1.61)	28.5% ( -0.27)	31.28% ( -1.33)

Both teams to score 45.6% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.37% (

0.67)

60.62% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.29% (

0.5)

80.71% (

-0.5)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.49% (

1.28)

29.5% (

-1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.48% (

1.53)

65.52% (

-1.54)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.69% (

-0.61)

35.31% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.93% (

-0.64)

72.07% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Welling United 40.2%

Hemel Hempstead Town 31.28%

Draw 28.49%

Welling United	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.53% Total : 40.2%	1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.49%	0-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.46) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 31.28%