Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 63.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.