National League South | Gameweek 39
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
3 - 0
Hemel Hemps.

Cashman (30'), Babalola (45+1'), Nash (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions
Last Game: Aveley 1-2 Worthing
Monday, March 10 at 7.45pm in National League South

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-1 Hornchurch
Monday, March 10 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 63.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 15.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
WorthingDrawHemel Hempstead Town
63.06% (0.17 0.17)21.12% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)15.82% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 49.72% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.67% (0.159 0.16)46.34% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.38% (0.148 0.15)68.62% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (0.105 0.11)14.06% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (0.202 0.2)41.65% (-0.2 -0.2)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.85% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)42.15% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.44% (-0.023 -0.02)78.57% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 63.05%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 15.82%
    Draw 21.12%
WorthingDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 11.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.46% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.66% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.16% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.44% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 63.05%
1-1 @ 10.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.12%
0-1 @ 5.12% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 15.82%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Hemel Hemps.
1-1
Worthing
German (31')
Barzey (5'), Wishart (14'), Howe (64'), Williams (89')
Spong (90+7')
Willard (16'), Beard (52'), Rea (66'), Cashman (90+6')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Hemel Hemps.
2-0
Worthing
Williams (45+1'), Whittaker (51')
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Worthing
1-1
Hemel Hemps.
Colbran (82')
Iaciofano (50')
Krasniqi (66')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Worthing
3-1
Hemel Hemps.
Dabre (29'), Pearce (33' pen.), Wills (42')
Grant (45+2')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Hemel Hemps.
1-1
Worthing
Melvin-Lambert (28' pen.)
Pearce (71')
rhs 2.0


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