National League South | Gameweek 44

Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
0 - 1
Hornchurch

FT(HT: 0-1)

McQueen (16')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and AFC Hornchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions

Last Game: Weston 0-1 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, April 15 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions

Last Game: Hornchurch 1-3 Truro City
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AFC Hornchurch in this match.

Result
Tonbridge Angels	Draw	AFC Hornchurch
31.99% ( 1.43)	26.76% ( 0.1)	41.25% ( -1.53)

Both teams to score 50.94% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.99% (

0.06)

54.01% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.55% (

0.05)

75.45% (

-0.05)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.65% (

1.04)

31.36% (

-1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.28% (

1.18)

67.72% (

-1.18)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2% (

-0.76)

25.8% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.25% (

-1.04)

60.75% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

Tonbridge Angels 31.99%

AFC Hornchurch 41.25%

Draw 26.76%

Tonbridge Angels	Draw	AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.99%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.31% Total : 41.25%