National League South Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Longmead Stadium
  • goal Darren McQueen 16'

Tonbridge Angels vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 15, 2025 7.45pm
Weston 0 - 1 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Liam Vincent

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
Hornchurch 1 - 3 Truro City
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Darren McQueen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AFC Hornchurch in this match.

Result

Tonbridge Angels 31.99% (+1.43)
Draw 26.76% (+0.11)
AFC Hornchurch 41.25% (-1.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.94% (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.99% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 54.01% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 24.55% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 75.45% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 11.08% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 88.92% (-0.04)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 68.65% (+1.04)
Under 0.5 31.36% (-1.04)
Over 1.5 32.28% (+1.19)
Under 1.5 67.72% (-1.19)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 74.2% (-0.77)
Under 0.5 25.8% (+0.77)
Over 1.5 39.25% (-1.05)
Under 1.5 60.75% (+1.05)

Score analysis

Tonbridge Angels 31.99%
Draw 26.76%
AFC Hornchurch 41.25%
Tonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 9.38% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 7.37% (+0.24)
2-0 @ 5.44% (+0.29)
3-1 @ 2.85% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 2.1% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 1.93% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 31.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.09% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.99% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.76%
AFC Hornchurch
0-1 @ 10.96% (-0.27)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 7.42% (-0.36)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.16)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.24)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.09)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 41.25%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 24
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Will Greenidge 45'+4' goal
  • Angelo Balanta 83' goal
  • goal Gianluca Zanre Botti 43'
  • goal Mason Terry 45'+2' (OG)