Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AFC Hornchurch in this match.