National League South Gameweek 43
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 2 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Tom Wraight 18' goal
  • Tom Wraight 18' goal
  • goal Jaze Kabia 53'
  • goal Jaze Kabia 53'
  • goal Jaze Kabia 66'
  • goal Jaze Kabia 66'
  • goal Jaze Kabia 70'
  • goal Jaze Kabia 70'

AFC Hornchurch vs Truro City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
Welling United 0 - 0 Hornchurch
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Darren McQueen

Truro City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
Worthing 1 - 2 Truro City
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Tyler Harvey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 20.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for an AFC Hornchurch win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.

Result

AFC Hornchurch 20.58% (-0.03)
Draw 24.43% (-0.02)
Truro City 55% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.28% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.25% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 52.74% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 25.62% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.37% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.76% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 88.24% (-0.03)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 59.67%
Under 0.5 40.32% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 23.05% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 76.95% (+0.01)

Truro City Goals

Over 0.5 80.91% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 19.09% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 49.3% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 50.7% (-0.06)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 20.58%
Draw 24.42%
Truro City 54.98%
AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 6.99% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.18% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.59% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 20.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.42%
Truro City
0-1 @ 12.74% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 10.55%
1-2 @ 9.59% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.83% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.41% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 54.98%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Treyew Road
  • Will Dean 33' yellowcard
  • Sam Sanders 62' yellowcard
  • Billy Palfrey 82' goal
  • Andrew Neal 90'+7' goal
  • goal Darren McQueen 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Nathan Bertram-Cooper 90'+3'
  • yellowcard D 90'+11'