National League South | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
0 - 0
Truro City

FT
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League South

Truro City

All competitions
Last Game: Truro City 1-0 Salisbury
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawTruro City
27.03% (0.033999999999999 0.03)26.46% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)46.5% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.2% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.01% (0.058 0.06)54.99% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.74% (0.047999999999998 0.05)76.26% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (0.058999999999997 0.06)35.58% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.65% (0.062000000000001 0.06)72.35% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (0.012999999999991 0.01)23.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (0.018999999999998 0.02)57.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 27.04%
    Truro City 46.5%
    Draw 26.46%
Chelmsford CityDrawTruro City
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.48% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.49% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 27.04%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 12.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 8.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.35% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-3 @ 4.21% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.5%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Truro City
2-1
Chelmsford City
Harvey (85', 90+3')
Foyo (33')
Donaldson (39'), Ruff (43'), Gale (70')
Mar 9, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Truro City
1-4
Chelmsford City
Harvey (11')
Alexander (3' pen., 55'), James (33'), Alfa (42')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Chelmsford City
1-2
Truro City
Ruff (73')
Winfield (85')
Sanders (68'), Greenslade (74')