National League South | Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Treyew Road

Truro City
1 - 0
Salisbury

Harvey (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)

(89')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Salisbury.

Form, Standings, Stats

Truro City

All competitions
Last Game: Enfield Town 3-2 Truro City
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South

Salisbury

All competitions
Last Game: Salisbury 2-1 Hampton
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Salisbury had a probability of 18.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Salisbury win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Truro City in this match.

Result
Truro CityDrawSalisbury
57.55% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)23.46% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)18.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 48.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)50.95% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)47.95% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.97% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)41.03% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.42% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.58% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 57.54%
    Salisbury 18.99%
    Draw 23.46%
Truro CityDrawSalisbury
1-0 @ 12.5%
2-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 6.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.65%
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 57.54%
1-1 @ 11.14%
0-0 @ 7.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.39%
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.85%
1-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 18.99%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Salisbury
1-1
Truro City
Hedges (71' pen.)
Wilkinson (45'), Dore (76'), Silva (84')
Law (2')
En-Neyah (56'), Sanogo (69'), Harrison (71')