Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.