National League South Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Sean Shields 10' goal
  • Taylor Maloney 76' goal
  • goal Nico Valentine 17'

Tonbridge Angels vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
Bath City 2 - 0 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Liam Vincent

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 0 - 1 Weston
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Charlie Ruff

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result

Tonbridge Angels 37.75% (+0.04)
Draw 26.58%
Chelmsford City 35.67% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.25% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.33% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 52.67%
Over 3.5 25.69% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 74.31% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 11.8%
Under 4.5 88.2% (-0.01)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 72.9% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.1% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 37.52% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 62.48% (-0.03)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 71.68% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 28.32% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.95% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 64.05% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Tonbridge Angels 37.75%
Draw 26.58%
Chelmsford City 35.67%
Tonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 10.02% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.25% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.54% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.85% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 37.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 7.68%
2-2 @ 5.21%
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 26.58%
Chelmsford City
0-1 @ 9.68% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.67%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Ruaridh Donaldson 40' yellowcard
  • Jake Hyde 71' goal
  • Bradley Adam Williams 81' yellowcard
  • Ryan Blackman 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Fielding 33'
  • goal Liam Vincent 38'
  • yellowcard Nazir Bakrin 49'
  • yellowcard Mo Dabre 84'
National League South Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Jermaine Francis 53' goal
  • Charlie Ruff 89' goal
  • Jermaine Francis 90'+2' goal
National League South Gameweek 16
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Scott Wagstaff 7'+7' goal
  • Swift B. 14'+14' redcard
  • goal Luke Jenkins 32'
National League South Gameweek 34
Feb 20, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • Liam Trotter 90'+6' goal
National League South Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Jeremy Santos 14' goal
National League South Gameweek 36
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adebola Olowu 37' goal
  • goal Adam Coombes 50'