National League South | Gameweek 39

Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
2 - 0
Tonbridge Angels

Ash (33'), Beardmore (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sutcliffe (90+2')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bath City

All competitions

Last Game: Bath City 2-0 Slough
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions

Last Game: Chesham 0-1 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 41.22%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.76%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.

Result
Bath City	Draw	Tonbridge Angels
41.22% ( 0.16)	30.67% ( -0.13)	28.1% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 38.98% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.87% (

0.33)

68.13% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.98% (

0.22)

86.02% (

-0.22)

Bath City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.26% (

0.27)

32.74% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.71% (

0.3)

69.3% (

-0.3)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.95% (

0.17)

42.05% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.52% (

0.15)

78.48% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Bath City 41.22%

Tonbridge Angels 28.1%

Draw 30.66%

Bath City	Draw	Tonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 15.37% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.67% Total : 41.22%	0-0 @ 13.76% ( -0.17) 1-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.66%	0-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.16% Total : 28.1%