Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.