National League South | Gameweek 44
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
1 - 1
Tonbridge Angels

Cooke (10' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sutcliffe (41')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bath City

All competitions
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-2 Bath City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Farnborough
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Bath CityDrawTonbridge Angels
51.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.18%24.76% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.16% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.48% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)47.52% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.27% (-0.026 -0.03)69.73% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.62% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)49.93% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)33.45% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92% (-0.038 -0.04)70.08% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 51.05%
    Tonbridge Angels 24.76%
    Draw 24.18%
Bath CityDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 51.05%
1-1 @ 11.46%
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 6.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 24.76%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Tonbridge Angels
3-2
Bath City
Fielding (8'), Gard (69' pen., 89' pen.)
Cooke (27'), Wilson (31')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Bath City
0-1
Tonbridge Angels
Wood (88')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Tonbridge Angels
1-2
Bath City
Collins (38')
Hayfield (64'), Fletcher (72')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Bath City
1-0
Tonbridge Angels
Fletcher (7')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Tonbridge Angels
0-1
Bath City
Cooke (8')