Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Taunton Town had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Taunton Town win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.