National League South | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Raymond McEnhill Stadium

Salisbury
2 - 0
Tonbridge Angels

Fitchett (10'), Silva (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Salisbury and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Truro City 1-0 Salisbury
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salisbury win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salisbury win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salisbury would win this match.

Result
SalisburyDrawTonbridge Angels
42.11%28.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)29.2% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 44.31% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.16% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)61.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)81.61% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.98% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)64.92% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)37.56% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)74.34% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Salisbury 42.1%
    Tonbridge Angels 29.2%
    Draw 28.68%
SalisburyDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 13.48%
2-0 @ 8.34%
2-1 @ 8.17%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.06%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 42.1%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 10.9%
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.68%
0-1 @ 10.67%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-2 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 29.2%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Tonbridge Angels
1-0
Salisbury
Shields (12')
Vincent (39'), Hanson (45+3')

McCreadie (58'), Perez (71')