Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Belgrano had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Belgrano win was 1-0 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Belgrano	Draw	Estudiantes
31.13% ( 0.33)	28.54% ( 0.19)	40.32% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 45.44% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.2% (

-0.58)

60.79% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.16% (

-0.44)

80.84% (

0.43)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.48% (

-0.07)

35.51% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.72% (

-0.07)

72.28% (

0.06)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.47% (

-0.58)

29.52% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.46% (

-0.72)

65.54% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Belgrano 31.13%

Estudiantes 40.32%

Draw 28.54%

Belgrano	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 31.13%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.54%	0-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.52% Total : 40.32%