Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 11
May 25, 2025 at 1pm UK
Nya Gamla Ullevi
Malmo

Goteborg
1 - 0
Malmo

Thordarson (58')
Jagne (20'), Erlingmark (75'), (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Karlsson (32'), Berg Johnsen (90+2'), Ali (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between IFK Goteborg and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Goteborg

All competitions
Last Game: Degerfors 1-3 Goteborg
Monday, May 19 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Malmo

All competitions
Last Game: Malmo 0-0 AIK
Thursday, May 22 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that IFK Goteborg would win this match.

Result
IFK GoteborgDrawMalmo
32.24% (0.036999999999999 0.04)25.3% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)42.45% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.72% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (0.148 0.15)47.87% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (0.136 0.14)70.05% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
IFK Goteborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87% (0.094999999999999 0.09)28.12% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2% (0.123 0.12)63.8% (-0.125 -0.13)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.060000000000002 0.06)22.47% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (0.090000000000003 0.09)56.02% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    IFK Goteborg 32.24%
    Malmo 42.45%
    Draw 25.29%
IFK GoteborgDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.59% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.09% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.24%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 9.44% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.45%

How you voted: Goteborg vs Malmo

IFK Goteborg
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Malmo
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2024 6.10pm
Gameweek 28
Malmo
2-1
Goteborg
Ali (59'), Bolin (77')
Christiansen (41'), Rydstrom (42'), Berg Johnsen (90+1'), Ali (90+3')
Skjellerup (25')
Svensson (62'), (90+6')
May 13, 2024 6.10pm
Gameweek 8
Goteborg
0-3
Malmo

Ohlsson (67'), Pyndt (73')
Botheim (34'), Rieks (42'), Berg Johnsen (88')
Busanello (37')
Sep 3, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 22
Malmo
2-2
Goteborg
Kiese Thelin (49' pen.), Olsson (90+7')
Jansson (77'), Pena (90+1')
Mucolli (13', 36')
Carlen (55'), Thordarson (79'), Norlin (90+1')
Apr 17, 2023 6.10pm
Gameweek 3
Goteborg
0-1
Malmo
Kiese Thelin (20')
Oct 17, 2022 6.10pm
Gameweek 26
Goteborg
2-1
Malmo
Norlin (70'), Johansson (83')
Kiese Thelin (46')