Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 13.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for an AIK Fotboll win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.