Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 8
May 11, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Stora Valla
Malmo

Degerfors
1 - 4
Malmo

Rafferty (53' pen.)
Diaby (55'), Ohlsson (86'), Gronborg (88'), Gronborg (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Berg Johnsen (7' pen.), Ekong (28'), Rosler (49'), Christiansen (90+1')
Rosler (51'), Bolin (78')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Degerfors and Malmo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Degerfors

All competitions
Last Game: Degerfors 1-1 Sirius
Saturday, May 3 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Malmo

All competitions
Last Game: Malmo 1-2 Brommapojkarna
Monday, May 5 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
DegerforsDrawMalmo
30.97% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)24.81% (-0.02 -0.02)44.22% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.83% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.82% (0.083999999999996 0.08)46.18% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53% (0.079999999999998 0.08)68.47% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
Degerfors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (0.029000000000011 0.03)28.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (0.033000000000001 0.03)63.79% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (0.055999999999997 0.06)20.94% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (0.088000000000001 0.09)53.68% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Degerfors 30.97%
    Malmo 44.22%
    Draw 24.81%
DegerforsDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 30.97%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.86% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 44.22%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 24
Degerfors
1-2
Malmo
Campos (79')
Vecchia (42'), Pena (60')
Cornelius (65'), Lewicki (77')
Jun 5, 2023 6.10pm
Gameweek 11
Malmo
5-0
Degerfors
Larsson (17'), Nanasi (45+9', 62'), Vecchia (68'), Busanello (75')
Cornelius (20'), Rydstrom (21'), Larsson (51')
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Malmo
2-2
Degerfors
Larsson (18'), Kiese Thelin (61')
Faraj (37'), Orqvist (64')
May 29, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 10
Degerfors
0-2
Malmo

Campos (22'), Carlen (61')
Toivonen (4', 44')
Toivonen (17'), Rakip (30')
Aug 21, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 16
Malmo
3-0
Degerfors
Birmancevic (43'), Abubakari (69'), Christiansen (88')

Lindahl (72')