Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.