Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.