Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.