Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 28

Oct 27, 2024 at 1pm UK

Finnvedsvallen

Varnamo
1 - 2
Norrkoping

Kotto (86')
Le Roux (34'), Steinwender (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nyman (25'), Ingvi Traustason (59')
Alm (35'), Moberg-Karlsson (77'), Prica (90'), Sandberg (90+8')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varnamo and IFK Norrkoping.

Form, Standings, Stats

Varnamo

All competitions

Last Game: GAIS 0-0 Varnamo
Sunday, October 20 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

IFK Norrkoping

All competitions

Last Game: Norrkoping 1-1 Brommapojkarna
Monday, October 21 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Varnamo	Draw	IFK Norrkoping
40.96% ( -0.08)	24.79% ( 0.01)	34.25% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 58.11% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.96% (

-0.02)

45.05% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.61% (

-0.02)

67.4% (

0.02)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.02% (

-0.05)

21.98% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.72% (

-0.08)

55.28% (

0.08)

IFK Norrkoping Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48% (

0.04)

25.53% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.62% (

0.05)

60.38% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Varnamo 40.96%

IFK Norrkoping 34.25%

Draw 24.79%

Varnamo	Draw	IFK Norrkoping
2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.96%	1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79%	1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.25%