Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.