Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasteras SK win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasteras SK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.